Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.816547 4.070457 4.344664 4.665013 5.031919 5.442686 5.942684
2025-04-06 3.429147 3.759034 4.134736 4.601188 5.175151 5.873423 6.813169
2025-04-13 3.093659 3.457483 3.888009 4.447648 5.176795 6.128880 7.534852
2025-04-20 2.936704 3.346316 3.850370 4.538424 5.494145 6.852074 9.115833
2025-04-27 2.809219 3.256320 3.826226 4.640642 5.845675 7.718217 11.320782
2025-05-04 2.729852 3.217983 3.862493 4.828487 6.360501 9.008448 15.201797
2025-05-11 2.622158 3.131493 3.822882 4.900198 6.713664 10.175057 20.212919
2025-05-18 2.504089 3.020508 3.736777 4.888146 6.925377 11.178130 26.739621
2025-05-25 2.350941 2.850126 3.550137 4.693729 6.772027 11.336427 30.828424
2025-06-01 2.244277 2.737881 3.439612 4.609741 6.811332 11.992295 40.337252
2025-06-08 2.159631 2.651326 3.360159 4.567487 6.924645 12.922087 59.935728
2025-06-15 2.109792 2.611195 3.347165 4.636286 7.283433 14.839900 157.115875
2025-06-22 2.029512 2.529623 3.275427 4.615051 7.498794 16.761759 NaN
2025-06-29 1.941250 2.431655 3.171247 4.524047 7.540401 18.204254 NaN
2025-07-06 1.844862 2.316902 3.032995 4.355455 7.360788 18.587675 NaN
2025-07-13 1.803219 2.282119 3.021539 4.427637 7.819900 23.162528 NaN
2025-07-20 1.766881 2.253099 3.017048 4.513589 8.361645 30.558812 NaN
2025-07-27 1.746418 2.247070 3.050351 4.682594 9.243908 49.131798 NaN
2025-08-03 1.709827 2.213516 3.033443 4.743244 9.829316 79.479626 NaN
2025-08-10 1.664620 2.163869 2.984544 4.726653 10.146408 129.649422 NaN
2025-08-17 1.598549 2.078069 2.866390 4.540127 9.749607 125.324711 NaN
2025-08-24 1.551371 2.020897 2.796590 4.458502 9.753876 177.972176 NaN
2025-08-31 1.512798 1.976030 2.746335 4.416854 9.913365 396.160285 NaN